We’ve had an incredible couple weeks in oil.
On June 29, crude oil prices relished in one of their largest single-day advances in over 19 months, continuing its streak from the previous week.
U.S. oil benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) boasted a one-day rise of 1.4%, while global oil benchmark Brent jumped 2.4%.
Which put Brent soaring to briefly touch $80 a barrel, with WTI not far behind, brushing nearly $75 a barrel last week.
These prices mark a rally of 14% in just the second quarter of 2018…
And only proves to me what I’ve been saying for months…
We’re looking at $100 oil sooner than you’d think.
How am I so confident?
Because there is one catalyst that could single-handedly propel oil prices to that triple-digit milestone – geopolitics.
Earlier this week, the White House began pressuring allies to block Iranian oil imports to “take Iran down to zero.” This urging directly led to the spike in oil prices, ending the month of June with its fourth straight quarterly gain.
Not only that, but Iran – who is OPEC’s third-biggest oil producer – has also threatened to halt exports from the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s biggest concentration of tankers carrying about 30% of all seaborne-traded crude oil.
But we’re not just looking at Iran.
The impending doom of Venezuela is also having a direct impact on the price of oil. Hyperinflation in this collapsing country has hit over 40,000% in just the past year alone. It doesn’t appear that relief is coming anytime soon, as President Maduro refuses humanitarian aid.
The continued collapse of Venezuela – which sits atop the largest oil reserves in the world – will help push global oil prices up to and surpassing $100 a barrel.
Simply put, geopolitics at this time mean that we’re looking at reduced supply of oil as Iran’s imports slow drastically and Venezuelan production grinds to a halt, as well as production troubles in Libya, Nigeria, and Canada, along with continued tension in the Middle East.
The bottom line here is, we are currently in one of the most stable price advance environments that I’ve seen in years.
Here's how to play it.
